Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 124.762701 142.115601 161.303527 184.143754 210.654976 240.533532 276.864001
2025-12-28 103.459459 126.892203 155.026761 191.496272 237.810145 295.047277 371.732884
2026-01-04 89.679772 115.897087 149.277834 195.303324 257.749675 340.430632 459.698042
2026-01-11 78.163613 105.257282 141.393935 193.745001 268.685593 373.683283 534.751484
2026-01-18 71.365204 99.614309 138.857878 198.254588 287.457340 418.994157 632.462589
2026-01-25 64.544403 92.911160 133.725490 197.896495 298.408928 453.487926 718.181705
2026-02-01 59.557534 88.176728 130.699916 199.950260 312.750040 494.347099 819.499538
2026-02-08 53.974615 81.888306 124.543561 196.188958 317.005926 519.031379 896.700820
2026-02-15 50.368788 78.242538 122.010526 197.773575 329.956133 559.437819 1007.299797
2026-02-22 47.305082 75.124426 119.936243 199.745966 343.567639 602.392722 1128.973411
2026-03-01 43.320841 70.120365 114.253232 194.824659 344.189296 621.636908 1207.350364
2026-03-08 40.071370 66.049246 109.741403 191.428775 347.061319 645.185565 1297.737902
2026-03-15 37.647238 63.438133 107.945929 193.620401 362.447807 698.439285 1467.958589
2026-03-22 36.245471 62.511206 109.086431 201.562468 390.488798 782.290474 1725.013056
2026-03-29 34.424800 60.636507 108.280321 205.604082 411.167729 854.121982 1970.487332
2026-04-05 32.063408 57.532186 104.845034 203.954367 419.592732 900.504255 2164.478747
2026-04-12 30.710146 56.181467 104.592930 208.730490 442.556350 983.538894 2471.225047
2026-04-19 28.902578 53.786941 102.050136 208.351211 453.862080 1041.009726 2723.533750
2026-04-26 27.528494 52.113149 100.772319 210.526563 471.356412 1116.560339 3045.418624
2026-05-03 25.671306 49.312731 96.925601 206.542700 473.564826 1153.792139 3264.370674
2026-05-10 24.503388 47.812658 95.642140 208.221019 489.912354 1230.912903 3626.070535
2026-05-17 23.461963 46.483881 94.592675 210.310168 507.604887 1314.924304 4033.361232
2026-05-24 21.899187 43.931681 90.665484 205.097800 505.578999 1343.408931 4262.878635